Both teams to score
Yes38%
ours 2.65
No62%
ours 1.61
All matches
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FC Shakhtar Donetsk — FK Kolos Kovalivka, Ukrainian Premier League
Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League
FC Shakhtar Donetsk
3.7WWDWLFK Kolos Kovalivka
2.0WLDDLOutcome probability
7716
FC Shakhtar Donetsk77%Draw16%FK Kolos Kovalivka7%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Shakhtar Donetsk1.30—
XDraw6.20—
2FK Kolos Kovalivka14.08—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Shakhtar DonetskFK Kolos KovalivkaCombined
Goals scored1.331.002.33
Conceded0.331.331.66
Corners6.38.67.4
Cards2.83.66.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Shakhtar DonetskFK Kolos Kovalivka1Table position132.8Days of rest7.22Matches in 14 days162.30%Possession48.00% - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
FC Shakhtar Donetsk look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 77%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Form and context
FC Shakhtar Donetsk
- homeLNZ Cherkasy FC3:0
- homeFK Chornomorets Odessa2:0
- awayPSV Eindhoven1:1
- awayFC Karpaty Lviv2:1
- homePolessya Zhitomir0:2
FK Kolos Kovalivka
- awayFK Kudrivka3:2
- homeFC Karpaty Lviv0:2
- awayFK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih2:2
- homeFC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv0:0
- awayFC Dynamo Kyiv1:2
Head to head
- 05/21/26Ukrainian Premier League0:1
- 12/06/25Ukrainian Premier League0:0
- 04/19/25Ukrainian Premier League2:4
- 10/18/24Ukrainian Premier League1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Shakhtar Donetsk760115:418
FC Shakhtar Donetsk760115:4182
Polessya Zhitomir760115:518
Polessya Zhitomir760115:5183
FC Karpaty Lviv742115:514
FC Karpaty Lviv742115:5144
FC Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
FC Dynamo Kyiv64119:5135
FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv640212:412
FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv640212:4126
FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:787
LNZ Cherkasy FC72235:88
LNZ Cherkasy FC72235:888
FC Zorya Luhansk72237:118
FC Zorya Luhansk72237:1189
FK Livyi Bereh61414:37
FK Livyi Bereh61414:3710
FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:6711
FC Veres Rivne61324:56
FC Veres Rivne61324:5612
FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih61237:105
FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih61237:10513FK Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
FK Kolos Kovalivka61236:10514
FK Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
FK Chornomorets Odessa61233:7515
FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124
FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124