Both teams to score
Yes42%
ours 2.37
No58%
ours 1.73
All matches
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FC Salzburg — SC Rheindorf Altach, Bundesliga
Austria, Bundesliga
FC Salzburg
2.6WWDWWSC Rheindorf Altach
1.2LLLLLOutcome probability
7118
FC Salzburg71%Draw18%SC Rheindorf Altach11%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Salzburg1.42—
XDraw5.51—
2SC Rheindorf Altach8.89—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC SalzburgSC Rheindorf AltachCombined
Goals scored1.670.332.00
Conceded0.331.672.00
Corners10.010.810.4
Cards2.01.63.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC SalzburgSC Rheindorf Altach2Table position122.8Days of rest72Matches in 14 days155.80%Possession52.40% - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour FC Salzburg: a home win is rated at 71%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Home
71%
Form and context
FC Salzburg
- homeSK Sturm Graz3:0
- awayPFC Levski Sofia1:0
- awaySV Ried1:1
- homeSK Rapid Wien5:1
- homeFK Austria Wien4:1
SC Rheindorf Altach
- awaySC Austria Lustenau0:2
- homeLiebherr Grazer AK1:2
- awayLASK Linz0:3
- homeTSV Hartberg1:2
- awaySK Sturm Graz0:1
Head to head
- 11/30/25Bundesliga1:1
- 10/19/25Bundesliga2:2
- 03/09/25Bundesliga1:1
- 10/19/24Bundesliga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
SK Rapid Wien760121:718
SK Rapid Wien760121:7182FC Salzburg752018:417
FC Salzburg752018:4173
LASK Linz751119:716
LASK Linz751119:7164
SK Sturm Graz73228:911
SK Sturm Graz73228:9115
SV Ried722311:128
SV Ried722311:1286
TSV Hartberg722310:138
TSV Hartberg722310:1387
WSG Swarovski Wattens72239:128
WSG Swarovski Wattens72239:1288
SC Austria Lustenau72238:118
SC Austria Lustenau72238:1189
Liebherr Grazer AK72236:168
Liebherr Grazer AK72236:16810
FK Austria Wien72147:137
FK Austria Wien72147:13711
Wolfsberger Athletik Club71247:135
Wolfsberger Athletik Club71247:13512SC Rheindorf Altach71065:123
SC Rheindorf Altach71065:123