Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.04
No51%
ours 1.96
All matches
—
FC Résidence Walferdange — US Rumelange, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
FC Résidence Walferdange
2.0WWLWLUS Rumelange
1.7LLLLLOutcome probability
611920
FC Résidence Walferdange61%Draw19%US Rumelange20%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Résidence Walferdange1.63—
XDraw5.28—
2US Rumelange5.09—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Résidence WalferdangeUS RumelangeCombined
Goals scored1.830.672.50
Conceded1.003.174.17
Corners7.08.87.9
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Résidence WalferdangeUS Rumelange8Table position1248.70%Possession43.50%7Days of rest71Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour FC Résidence Walferdange: a home win is rated at 61%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 1.5
69%
Form and context
FC Résidence Walferdange
- homeUS Mondorf-les-Bains2:1
- awayFC Swift Hesperange3:0
- homeFC UNA Strassen0:3
- awayFC Etzella Ettelbrück5:0
- homeFC Atert Bissen1:2
US Rumelange
- awayFC UNA Strassen0:2
- homeFC Atert Bissen0:6
- awayFC Progrès Niederkorn0:3
- homeAS la Jeunesse d'Esch2:5
- awayF91 Dudelange2:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
FC Atert Bissen850318:1115
FC Atert Bissen850318:11158FC Résidence Walferdange850316:1015
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:10159
US Hostert832314:1111
US Hostert832314:111110
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:17711
F91 Dudelange82158:157
F91 Dudelange82158:15712US Rumelange82068:236
US Rumelange82068:23613
FC Victoria Rosport812511:205
FC Victoria Rosport812511:20514
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:155
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:155