All matches

FC Lugano 4:1 FC Sankt Gallen 1879, Super League

Switzerland, Super LeagueMatch finished

FC Lugano
3.1WWDWW
4:1HT 4:0
FC Sankt Gallen 1879
2.5WLLWL
Pre-match forecastpublished
472726
FC Lugano47%Draw27%FC Sankt Gallen 187926%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.41xG2.25
48Possession, %52
12Shots21
8Shots on target5
2Corners8
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
11Fouls14
1Offsides4

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 64 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    FC Lugano47%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.553%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 47%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes51%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Lugano47%50%2.132.00-3.0
XDraw27%26%3.733.80+0.5
2FC Sankt Gallen 187926%32%3.823.10-6.1

Form and context

FC Lugano

  • awayFC Lausanne Sport4:0
  • homeFC Sankt Gallen 18794:1
  • homeBSC Young Boys2:2
  • awayFC Basel 18933:1
  • homeServette FC1:0

FC Sankt Gallen 1879

  • awayFC Basel 18933:1
  • awayFC Lugano1:4
  • homeFC Sion0:3
  • awayServette FC2:0
  • awayGrasshopper Club Zürich0:2

Head to head

  • 09/16/26Super League4:1
  • 05/10/26Super League1:2
  • 03/17/26Super League1:1
  • 11/26/25Super League1:3
  • 09/13/25Super League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Lugano981027:725
2BSC Young Boys954031:1819
3FC Sion961223:1419
4FC Basel 1893941417:1713
5FC Sankt Gallen 1879941416:1913
6FC Luzern933317:1812
7FC Zürich932414:2011

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.