All matches

FC Inter Turku — Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi, Veikkausliiga

Finland, Veikkausliiga

FC Inter Turku
3.0WWLWL
—
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
2.4DDWWL
Outcome probability
512524
FC Inter Turku51%Draw25%Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Inter Turku51%1.96—
XDraw25%3.98—
2Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi24%4.21—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 2.02

No50%

ours 1.98

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC Inter TurkuHelsingin JalkapalloklubiCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded0.000.170.17
Corners6.011.08.5
Cards1.50.52.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FC Inter TurkuHelsingin Jalkapalloklubi
    2Table position3
    5.2Days of rest4.1
    62.00%Possession56.00%
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour FC Inter Turku: a home win is rated at 51%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

FC Inter Turku

  • awayAC Oulu1:0
  • homeVaasan Palloseura1:0
  • awayHelsingin Jalkapalloklubi1:2
  • homeKuopion Palloseura1:0
  • awayFC København1:4

Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi

  • awayIF Gnistan1:1
  • awayKuopion Palloseura0:0
  • homeFC Inter Turku2:1
  • awayTampereen Ilves2:1
  • homeIF Gnistan2:3

Head to head

  • 09/09/26Veikkausliiga1:2
  • 06/17/26Veikkausliiga3:3
  • 04/29/26Veikkausliiga1:1
  • 10/26/25Veikkausliiga1:1
  • 09/23/25Veikkausliiga0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kuopion Palloseura25139341:2448
2FC Inter Turku25139332:1848
3Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi25126739:2942
4IF Gnistan25118640:3241
5FC Lahti25106930:2436

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.