All matches

Hradec Kralove — Lisen, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Hradec Kralove
2.3LWDWL
—
Lisen
1.6DLLWL
Outcome probability
6425
Hradec Kralove64%Draw25%Lisen12%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hradec Kralove64%1.57—
XDraw25%4.06—
2Lisen12%8.58—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes39%

ours 2.60

No61%

ours 1.63

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHradec KraloveLisenCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded1.171.833.00
Corners12.37.39.8
Cards2.21.33.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Hradec KraloveLisen
    9Table position14
    53.80%Possession51.00%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour FC Hradec Králové: a home win is rated at 64%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

    Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

Hradec Kralove

  • homeTeplice0:2
  • awayFASTAV Zlin2:1
  • homeViktoria Plzen0:0
  • homeSparta Prague2:1
  • awayZbrojovka Brno0:1

Lisen

  • homeSlovan Liberec0:0
  • awayZbrojovka Brno1:2
  • homeViktoria Plzen0:3
  • awayPardubice2:1
  • homeSparta Prague0:4

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Sparta Prague950418:1215
8Jablonec942311:914
9Hradec Kralove94238:914
10Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
11Banik Ostrava93157:1710
12Bohemians 190582339:119
13Pardubice92259:148
14Lisen91267:185
15Slovacko90457:164
16FASTAV Zlin90188:191

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.