All matches

FC FASTAV Zlín — SK Sigma Olomouc, First League

Czech Republic, First League

FC FASTAV Zlín
1.2DLLLL
—
SK Sigma Olomouc
2.0LWWLW
Outcome probability
202357
FC FASTAV Zlín20%Draw23%SK Sigma Olomouc57%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC FASTAV Zlín20%5.00—
XDraw23%4.38—
2SK Sigma Olomouc57%1.75—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.32

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC FASTAV ZlínSK Sigma OlomoucCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded1.501.002.50
Corners13.09.811.4
Cards2.01.83.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FC FASTAV ZlínSK Sigma Olomouc
    16Table position4
    1Matches in 14 days2
    38.50%Possession52.00%
    7Days of rest6.9
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    SK Sigma Olomouc travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 57%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

FC FASTAV Zlín

  • awayFK Jablonec 1:1
  • homeFC Hradec Králové1:2
  • homeFK Teplice1:3
  • awayFC Zbrojovka Brno2:3
  • homeFC Slovan Liberec0:1

SK Sigma Olomouc

  • homeAC Sparta Praha0:3
  • awayFC Viktoria Plzeň3:2
  • homeBohemians 19053:0
  • awayFC Banik Ostrava0:1
  • homeFK Pardubice3:1

Head to head

  • 12/14/25First League5:0
  • 08/16/25First League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2FC Slovan Liberec962113:420
3FK Mladá Boleslav852117:917
4SK Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
5FK Teplice951317:1516
6FC Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
7AC Sparta Praha950418:1215
8FK Jablonec 942311:914
9FC Hradec Králové94238:914
10FC Viktoria Plzeň924317:1710
11FC Banik Ostrava93157:1710
12Bohemians 190582339:119
13FK Pardubice92259:148
14SK Líšeň91267:185
151. FC Slovácko90457:164
16FC FASTAV Zlín90188:191

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.