Both teams to score
Yes41%
ours 2.46
No59%
ours 1.68
All matches
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FC Etzella Ettelbrück — FC Progrès Niederkorn, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
FC Etzella Ettelbrück
1.6DLWLLFC Progrès Niederkorn
2.1DWWLLOutcome probability
242255
FC Etzella Ettelbrück24%Draw22%FC Progrès Niederkorn55%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Etzella Ettelbrück4.20—
XDraw4.64—
2FC Progrès Niederkorn1.83—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Etzella EttelbrückFC Progrès NiederkornCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners10.78.39.5
Cards0.0——
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Etzella EttelbrückFC Progrès Niederkorn14Table position543.70%Possession52.30%7Days of rest81Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, FC Progrès Niederkorn still look stronger — an away win is rated at 55%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 9.5
71%
Form and context
FC Etzella Ettelbrück
- awayFC Victoria Rosport1:1
- awayFC Differdange 030:1
- awayFC Swift Hesperange3:0
- homeFC Résidence Walferdange0:5
- homeUewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 970:1
FC Progrès Niederkorn
- homeRacing FC Union Lëtzebuerg0:0
- awayFC Wiltz 712:1
- homeUS Rumelange3:0
- awayUS Mondorf-les-Bains1:2
- homeFC UNA Strassen0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:1118
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:11184
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:717
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:7175FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:516
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:5166
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
FC Atert Bissen850318:1115
FC Atert Bissen850318:11158
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:1015
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:10159
US Hostert832314:1111
US Hostert832314:111110
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:17711
F91 Dudelange82158:157
F91 Dudelange82158:15712
US Rumelange82068:236
US Rumelange82068:23613
FC Victoria Rosport812511:205
FC Victoria Rosport812511:20514FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:155
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:15515
FC Wiltz 71811614:224
FC Wiltz 71811614:22416
FC Swift Hesperange80082:300
FC Swift Hesperange80082:300