Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.93
No48%
ours 2.07
All matches
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FC Dinamo Tbilisi — Spaeri FC, Erovnuli Liga
Georgia, Erovnuli Liga
FC Dinamo Tbilisi
2.5WWDDWSpaeri FC
1.5LLDDLOutcome probability
582418
FC Dinamo Tbilisi58%Draw24%Spaeri FC18%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Dinamo Tbilisi1.72—
XDraw4.22—
2Spaeri FC5.52—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Dinamo TbilisiSpaeri FCCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded0.501.832.33
Corners6.810.88.8
Cards1.81.83.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Dinamo TbilisiSpaeri FC4Table position92Matches in 14 days16.9Days of rest7.949.80%Possession52.00% - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
FC Dinamo Tbilisi look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 58%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 1.5
70%
Form and context
FC Dinamo Tbilisi
- awayFC Samgurali Tskaltubo3:2
- homeFC Gagra4:0
- homeFC Meshakhte Tkibuli0:0
- awayFC Torpedo Kutaisi1:1
- homeFC Dila Gori2:1
Spaeri FC
- homeFC Dila Gori1:4
- awayFC Iberia 1999 Tbilisi0:1
- homeFC Rustavi1:1
- awayFC Meshakhte Tkibuli2:2
- awayFC Dinamo Batumi0:3
Head to head
- 08/09/26Erovnuli Liga2:1
- 05/07/26Erovnuli Liga2:1
- 03/07/26Erovnuli Liga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
FC Iberia 1999 Tbilisi26144837:2846
FC Iberia 1999 Tbilisi26144837:28463
FC Rustavi27137732:2346
FC Rustavi27137732:23464FC Dinamo Tbilisi26129543:2945
FC Dinamo Tbilisi26129543:29455
FC Dila Gori271241138:3040
FC Dila Gori271241138:30406
FC Torpedo Kutaisi2799943:3436
FC Torpedo Kutaisi2799943:34367
FC Samgurali Tskaltubo27951338:5232
FC Samgurali Tskaltubo27951338:52328
FC Gagra276111025:3729
FC Gagra276111025:37299Spaeri FC275101234:4325
Spaeri FC275101234:432510
FC Meshakhte Tkibuli272111420:4417
FC Meshakhte Tkibuli272111420:4417