All matches

FC Atert Bissen — US Hostert, National Division

Luxembourg, National Division

FC Atert Bissen
2.6WWLLW
—
US Hostert
1.7DDWLW
Outcome probability
78
FC Atert Bissen78%Draw12%US Hostert10%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Atert Bissen78%1.29—
XDraw12%8.15—
2US Hostert10%9.91—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.91

No48%

ours 2.10

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC Atert BissenUS HostertCombined
Goals scored2.330.833.16
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners5.89.07.4
Cards—0.0—
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FC Atert BissenUS Hostert
    51.50%Possession40.00%
    7Table position9
    7Days of rest7
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    FC Atert Bissen look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 78%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 4.5

66%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

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Form and context

FC Atert Bissen

  • homeFC Wiltz 714:2
  • awayUS Rumelange6:0
  • homeUS Mondorf-les-Bains1:2
  • awayFC UNA Strassen1:2
  • awayFC Résidence Walferdange2:1

US Hostert

  • homeAS la Jeunesse d'Esch1:1
  • homeF91 Dudelange0:0
  • awayFC Victoria Rosport2:0
  • homeFC Differdange 030:2
  • awayFC Swift Hesperange2:0

Head to head

  • 04/19/26National Division3:0
  • 10/26/25National Division7:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:516
6Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
7FC Atert Bissen850318:1115
8FC Résidence Walferdange850316:1015
9US Hostert832314:1111
10AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177
11F91 Dudelange82158:157

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.