UEFA Nations League

Faroe IslandsПВВВП
—
SlovakiaППВВП
1Faroe Islands21%model4.84
XDraw28%model3.53
2Slovakia51%model1.96
calculated at 23:15, 142 мс

Outcome

Faroe Islands21%
Draw28%
Slovakia51%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Faroe Islands vs Slovakia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Slovakia still look stronger — an away win is rated at 51%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Faroe Islands

LWWWL
  • awayCroatia1:3
  • homeCzech Republic2:1
  • homeMontenegro4:0
  • awayGibraltar1:0
  • homeCroatia0:1

Slovakia

LLWWL
  • homeKosovo3:4
  • awayGermany0:6
  • homeNorthern Ireland1:0
  • homeLuxembourg2:0
  • awayNorthern Ireland0:2

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Austria11003:13
2Armenia11002:03
3Lithuania11002:03
4Belgium11002:03
5Norway11003:23
6Montenegro11002:13
7Malta11002:13
8Greece11002:13
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.