Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.45
All matches
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DSC Arminia Bielefeld — VfL Osnabrück, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
1.5DLDLWVfL Osnabrück
1.8DLWWLOutcome probability
432631
DSC Arminia Bielefeld43%Draw26%VfL Osnabrück31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1DSC Arminia Bielefeld2.32—
XDraw3.83—
2VfL Osnabrück3.25—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDSC Arminia BielefeldVfL OsnabrückCombined
Goals scored1.501.002.50
Conceded1.671.333.00
Corners11.810.010.9
Cards1.82.24.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
DSC Arminia BielefeldVfL Osnabrück13Table position117Days of rest846.40%Possession40.80%1Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
DSC Arminia Bielefeld look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 43%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Goal in both halves: Yes
72%
Form and context
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
- home1. FC Heidenheim 18462:2
- awaySV Darmstadt 18981:2
- homeFC St. Pauli2:2
- away1. FC Nürnberg1:4
- homeFC Energie Cottbus3:0
VfL Osnabrück
- awayKieler SV Holstein 19001:1
- homeHertha BSC1:3
- homeBraunschweiger TSV Eintracht 18953:1
- awayVfL Bochum 18481:0
- home1. FC Magdeburg0:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
VfL Bochum 184862135:67
VfL Bochum 184862135:6710
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:97
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:9711VfL Osnabrück62139:127
VfL Osnabrück62139:12712
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:116
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:11613DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514
Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:134
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:134