Both teams to score
Yes43%
ours 2.30
No57%
ours 1.77
All matches
—
Digenis Ypsonas — Apollon Limassol, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Digenis Ypsonas
1.5LLLLDApollon Limassol
2.8DDWDLOutcome probability
172162
Digenis Ypsonas17%Draw21%Apollon Limassol62%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Digenis Ypsonas5.99—
XDraw4.69—
2Apollon Limassol1.61—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDigenis YpsonasApollon LimassolCombined
Goals scored0.671.672.34
Conceded2.501.504.00
Corners9.08.38.7
Cards1.72.54.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Digenis YpsonasApollon Limassol14Table position550.70%Possession50.80%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, Apollon Limassol still look stronger — an away win is rated at 62%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
67%
Form and context
Digenis Ypsonas
- awayAC Omonia Nicosia1:4
- homeAris FC Limassol0:1
- awayOmonia FC Aradippou1:2
- homeALS Omonia 29is Maiou0:3
- homeEnosis Paralimni0:0
Apollon Limassol
- homeAPOEL FC2:2
- awayAC Omonia Nicosia0:0
- homeAnorthosis Famagusta FC3:1
- awayAris FC Limassol2:2
- homeSK Brann2:4
Head to head
- 12/21/25First Division0:1
- 08/29/25First Division3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
AC Omonia Nicosia42208:28
AC Omonia Nicosia42208:284
Paphos FC42114:27
Paphos FC42114:275Apollon Limassol41307:56
Apollon Limassol41307:566
Omonia FC Aradippou41304:36
Omonia FC Aradippou41304:367
ALS Omonia 29is Maiou41219:75
ALS Omonia 29is Maiou41219:758
Aris FC Limassol41214:65
Aris FC Limassol41214:659
APOEL FC411210:74
APOEL FC411210:7410
Olympiakos Nicosia FC40407:74
Olympiakos Nicosia FC40407:7411
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:9412
Karmiotissa Pano Polemidia40313:63
Karmiotissa Pano Polemidia40313:6313
Anorthosis Famagusta FC41033:93
Anorthosis Famagusta FC41033:9314Digenis Ypsonas40042:100
Digenis Ypsonas40042:100