Primera División

Defensor Sporting ClubПВНПН
Danubio Fútbol ClubННППН
1Defensor Sporting Club44%model2.29bookmaker2.18
XDraw29%model3.44bookmaker3.08
2Danubio Fútbol Club27%model3.65bookmaker3.10
calculated at 16:24, 171 мс

Outcome

Defensor Sporting Club44%
Draw29%
Danubio Fútbol Club27%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Defensor Sporting Club vs Danubio Fútbol Club

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Defensor Sporting Club: a home win is rated at 44%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Defensor Sporting Club

LWDLD
  • awayClub Nacional de Football2:3
  • homeClub Deportivo Maldonado1:0
  • awayCentral Español FC1:1
  • homeCA Torque1:3
  • awayCerro Largo Fútbol Club1:1

Danubio Fútbol Club

DDLLD
  • homeMontevideo Wanderers Fútbol Club1:1
  • awayCA Juventud1:1
  • homeCA Peñarol0:4
  • awayClub Atlético Progreso0:1
  • homeRacing Club de Montevideo0:0

Head to headscore from the perspective of Defensor Sporting Club

  • 03/26/26away · Primera División0:0D
  • 09/19/25home · Primera División2:1W
  • 03/27/25away · Primera División1:1D
  • 10/05/24away · Primera División1:1D
  • 03/30/24home · Primera División1:0W

League table

Таблица чемпионата

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Albion FC29971337:3834
11Cerro Largo Fútbol Club29891228:3233
12Defensor Sporting Club297111125:3332
13Club Atlético Cerro29951523:4332
14CA Boston River29861528:4030
15Danubio Fútbol Club294141124:3826
16Club Atlético Progreso29741823:4225

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Дефенсор Спортинг vs Данубио: prediction and stats — VARstats