Primera División

Danubio Fútbol ClubННППН
—
Cerro Largo Fútbol ClubППНПН
1Danubio Fútbol Club34%model2.92bookmaker2.20
XDraw30%model3.31bookmaker2.93
2Cerro Largo Fútbol Club36%model2.81bookmaker3.23

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 15:29, 181 мс

Outcome

Danubio Fútbol Club34%
Draw30%
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club36%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Danubio Fútbol Club vs Cerro Largo Fútbol Club

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Cerro Largo Fútbol Club travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 36%. Bookmakers price this at 3.23.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Danubio Fútbol Club

DDLLD
  • homeMontevideo Wanderers Fútbol Club1:1
  • awayCA Juventud1:1
  • homeCA Peñarol0:4
  • awayClub Atlético Progreso0:1
  • homeRacing Club de Montevideo0:0

Cerro Largo Fútbol Club

LLDLD
  • homeClub Nacional de Football0:2
  • awayClub Deportivo Maldonado0:2
  • homeCentral Español FC0:0
  • awayCA Torque1:2
  • homeLiverpool FC Montevideo1:1

Head to head — score from the perspective of Danubio Fútbol Club

  • 03/30/26away · Primera División0:2L
  • 08/18/25away · Primera División0:1L
  • 02/15/25home · Primera División0:0D
  • 10/20/24away · Primera División0:0D
  • 06/09/24away · Primera División2:2D

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
9CA Juventud29981235:3935
10Albion FC29971337:3834
11Cerro Largo Fútbol Club30891328:3433
12Defensor Sporting Club297111125:3332
13Club Atlético Cerro29951523:4332
14CA Boston River30861629:4230
15Club Atlético Progreso30841825:4328
16Danubio Fútbol Club294141124:3826

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.