All matches

DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda — MFK Ružomberok, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda
2.9DWWWW
—
MFK Ružomberok
1.2LWDLL
Outcome probability
81
DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda81%Draw12%MFK Ružomberok7%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda81%1.23—
XDraw12%8.29—
2MFK Ružomberok7%15.22—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes40%

ours 2.52

No60%

ours 1.66

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDAC 1904 Dunajská StredaMFK RužomberokCombined
Goals scored2.330.833.16
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners7.08.57.8
Cards1.83.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    DAC 1904 Dunajská StredaMFK Ružomberok
    1Table position12
    50.00%Possession38.30%
    5.9Days of rest7
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 81%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

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Form and context

DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda

  • homeFC Spartak Trnava2:2
  • awayFK AS Trenčín4:1
  • homeŠK Slovan Bratislava2:0
  • awayMFK Skalica6:1
  • homeŽP Šport Podbrezová5:0

MFK Ružomberok

  • awayFK Košice0:2
  • homeMFK Zemplín Michalovce3:0
  • homeFC Spartak Trnava1:1
  • awayFK AS Trenčín1:2
  • homeMFK Dukla Banská Bystrica0:1

Head to head

  • 07/26/26Super Liga1:1
  • 11/08/25Super Liga1:0
  • 08/09/25Super Liga2:0
  • 03/01/25Super Liga3:0
  • 10/19/24Super Liga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda862025:520
2MŠK Žilina962123:1720
3FC Spartak Trnava953121:1018
4ŠK Slovan Bratislava851220:916
5ŽP Šport Podbrezová942313:1614
6MFK Zemplín Michalovce94149:1113
7FK Košice833221:1812
8MFK Skalica922511:198
9MFK Dukla Banská Bystrica92169:217
10KFC Komárno90548:145
11FK AS Trenčín812510:205
12MFK Ružomberok91268:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.