UEFA Nations League

Czech RepublicПНПНН
CroatiaПВВПВ
1Czech Republic27%model3.73bookmaker3.33
XDraw26%model3.81bookmaker3.62
2Croatia47%model2.13bookmaker2.20
calculated at 21:08, 170 мс

Outcome

Czech Republic27%
Draw26%
Croatia47%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Czech Republic vs Croatia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Croatia still look stronger — an away win is rated at 47%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Czech Republic

LDLDD
  • homeMexico0:3
  • homeSouth Africa1:1
  • awaySouth Korea1:2
  • homeDenmark2:2
  • homeRepublic of Ireland2:2

Croatia

LWWLW
  • awayPortugal1:2
  • homeGhana2:1
  • awayPanama1:0
  • awayEngland2:4
  • awayMontenegro3:2

Head to headscore from the perspective of Czech Republic

  • 10/09/25home · WC Qualification Europe0:0D
  • 06/09/25away · WC Qualification Europe1:5L

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Чехия vs Хорватия: prediction and stats — VARstats