Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92
No48%
ours 2.09
All matches
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CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara — CD Guadalajara, Liga MX
Mexico, Liga MX
CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara
1.7WDLDLCD Guadalajara
2.5LDWWDOutcome probability
322741
CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara32%Draw27%CD Guadalajara41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara3.15—
XDraw3.66—
2CD Guadalajara2.45—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCSyD Atlas de GuadalajaraCD GuadalajaraCombined
Goals scored1.672.334.00
Conceded2.001.173.17
Corners11.511.211.3
Cards1.31.22.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
CSyD Atlas de GuadalajaraCD Guadalajara6Table position356.50%Possession58.50%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
CD Guadalajara travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 41%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Form and context
CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara
- awayClub Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente3:2
- homeClub Universidad Nacional1:1
- awayDeportivo Toluca FC2:5
- homeClub Atlante1:1
- homeQuerétaro FC1:3
CD Guadalajara
- homeQuerétaro FC0:2
- awayClub América2:2
- homeClub Universidad Nacional3:0
- awayAtlético San Luis3:0
- awayCF Pachuca1:1
Head to head
- 03/08/26Liga MX1:2
- 10/26/25Liga MX1:4
- 04/20/25Liga MX1:1
- 11/22/24Liga MX2:1
- 10/06/24Liga MX3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Deportivo Toluca FC1062223:1220
Deportivo Toluca FC1062223:12202
Club América962121:1020
Club América962121:10203CD Guadalajara1053217:1018
CD Guadalajara1053217:10184
Querétaro FC952213:817
Querétaro FC952213:8175
Club León1052314:1117
Club León1052314:11176CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara1052316:1717
CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara1052316:17177
Cruz Azul FC1051419:1816
Cruz Azul FC1051419:18168
Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente942314:1314
Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente942314:1314