Primera División

CSD Defensa y JusticiaНВПВВ
—
CA San Lorenzo de AlmagroПНВПН
1CSD Defensa y Justicia42%model2.38bookmaker2.18
XDraw30%model3.29bookmaker2.89
2CA San Lorenzo de Almagro28%model3.62bookmaker4.04

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 21:09, 136 мс

Outcome

CSD Defensa y Justicia42%
Draw30%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro28%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on CSD Defensa y Justicia vs CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

CSD Defensa y Justicia look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 42%. Bookmakers price this at 2.18.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

CSD Defensa y Justicia

DWLWW
  • awayCentral Córdoba de Santiago del Estero2:2
  • homeGimnasia Mendoza2:0
  • awayCA Lanús0:1
  • homePlatense1:0
  • awayCA Belgrano de Córdoba2:1

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

LDWLD
  • homeCA Boca Juniors0:2
  • awayCA Independiente1:1
  • homeCA Talleres de Córdoba1:0
  • awayInstituto Córdoba0:1
  • awayEstudiantes de Río Cuarto0:0

Head to head — score from the perspective of CSD Defensa y Justicia

  • 03/16/26away · Primera División5:2W
  • 09/10/16home · Primera División0:2L

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
13CA Unión de Santa Fe281071143:3937
14CA Lanús26107928:2637
15CSD Defensa y Justicia26910731:3237
16Gimnasia Mendoza261061028:3136
17CA Sarmiento261121330:3635
18CA Talleres de Córdoba27971128:3134
19CA San Lorenzo de Almagro27810920:2434
20CA Tigre26711827:2432
21Barracas Central2588919:2132
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.