All matches

Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo — CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira, Categoria Primera A

Colombia, Categoria Primera A

Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo
1.4WLLDL
—
CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira
1.2DDLDL
Outcome probability
512722
Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo51%Draw27%CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo51%1.96—
XDraw27%3.66—
2CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira22%4.60—

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCorporación Nuevo Cúcuta DeportivoCS Deportiva y Cultural de PereiraCombined
Goals scored1.170.671.84
Conceded1.671.503.17
Corners7.77.67.6
Cards2.83.46.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta DeportivoCS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira
    1Matches in 14 days2
    7.9Days of rest5
    16Table position20
    44.70%Possession49.00%
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 51%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo

  • homeClub Llaneros SA2:1
  • awayAsociación Deportivo Cali0:3
  • homeMillonarios FC SA1:2
  • homeAD Pasto2:2
  • awayClub Deportes Tolima SA1:2

CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira

  • homeCD La Equidad Seguros SA0:0
  • awayRionegro Águilas SA2:2
  • homeCA Bucaramanga1:3
  • homeMillonarios FC SA1:1
  • homeDeportivo Independiente Medellín0:3

Head to head

  • 03/24/26Categoria Primera A2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Club Llaneros SA308121031:3436
15Fortaleza CEIF FC296121133:4330
16Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo306101433:5428
17Alianza Valledupar FC306101424:4828
18Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA29841725:5028
19Jaguares de Córdoba FC29671631:5125
20CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira282121421:4318

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.