Welsh Premier League
Connah's Quay Nomads FCВВВПН
Penybont FCВВВВВ
1Connah's Quay Nomads FC49%model2.02
XDraw27%model3.77
2Penybont FC24%model4.16
Goals
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
calculated at 21:11, 111 мс
Outcome
Corners
Subscribers only
Total 2.5
Subscribers only
Both teams to score
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Model vs bookmaker valuesubscribers
Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.
Model take on Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs Penybont FC
Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.
What drives the numberssubscribers
Form, rest, fixture load and league position
Recent matches
Connah's Quay Nomads FC
- awayBarry Town United FC4:1
- homeCardiff Metropolitan University FC1:0
- homeAirbus UK FC3:0
- awayColwyn Bay FC1:2
- homeHaverfordwest County AFC1:1
Penybont FC
- homeAirbus UK FC2:1
- awayAmmanford AFC5:1
- homeBriton Ferry Llansawel AFC3:2
- awayTrefelin1:0
- homeColwyn Bay FC1:0
Head to head — score from the perspective of Connah's Quay Nomads FC
- 03/21/26home · Welsh Premier League2:1W
- 02/14/26away · Welsh Premier League0:0D
- 11/08/25home · Welsh Premier League4:0W
- 08/30/25away · Welsh Premier League1:0W
- 01/04/25away · Welsh Premier League0:1L
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints FC | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont FC | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay FC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:14 | 22 |
| … | |||||||
Three scenariossubscribers
One pick from each odds range
Markets in detail
Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.