All matches

Club Sportivo Trinidense — Club Sportivo Luqueño, Division Profesional

Paraguay, Division Profesional

Club Sportivo Trinidense
2.2WLWLW
—
Club Sportivo Luqueño
1.3LWLLD
Outcome probability
592516
Club Sportivo Trinidense59%Draw25%Club Sportivo Luqueño16%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Club Sportivo Trinidense59%54%1.681.84+5.1
XDraw25%28%4.053.54-3.6
2Club Sportivo Luqueño16%24%6.294.10-8.5

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.94book 1.83

No49%

ours 2.06book 1.86

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricClub Sportivo TrinidenseClub Sportivo LuqueñoCombined
Goals scored1.501.002.50
Conceded1.001.502.50
Corners10.810.210.5
Cards2.01.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Club Sportivo TrinidenseClub Sportivo Luqueño
    5Table position10
    8.9Days of rest10
    47.00%Possession47.80%
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour Club Sportivo Trinidense: a home win is rated at 59%. Bookmakers price this at 1.84.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

    Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

69%1.25
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

Club Sportivo Trinidense

  • homeClub Cerro Porteño2:1
  • homeClub Guaraní0:1
  • awayCD Recoleta3:1
  • homeClub Olimpia1:2
  • awaySportivo Ameliano3:0

Club Sportivo Luqueño

  • homeClub Guaraní0:1
  • homeCD Recoleta1:0
  • awayClub Olimpia0:3
  • homeSportivo Ameliano1:2
  • awayClub 2 de Mayo2:2

Head to head

  • 07/29/26Division Profesional4:1
  • 04/25/26Division Profesional1:2
  • 02/25/26Division Profesional1:1
  • 10/17/25Division Profesional0:1
  • 08/02/25Division Profesional2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Club Cerro Porteño331671045:3155
4Club Libertad331661153:3854
5Club Sportivo Trinidense3414101050:3552
6Sportivo Ameliano341215741:3451
7Club Guaraní341213940:3249
8Club 2 de Mayo3411111232:4844
9CD Recoleta341061848:5636
10Club Sportivo Luqueño34961936:5433
11Club Rubio Ñú34881828:4932
12Club Sportivo San Lorenzo34382317:6217

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.