All matches

Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami — DC United, MLS

USA, MLS

Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami
3.3LDDDD
—
DC United
1.1DLDWD
Outcome probability
7116
Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami71%Draw16%DC United12%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami71%1.40—
XDraw16%6.08—
2DC United12%8.12—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes65%

ours 1.53

No35%

ours 2.89

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricClub Internacional de Fútbol MiamiDC UnitedCombined
Goals scored2.501.173.67
Conceded1.671.503.17
Corners8.811.710.3
Cards3.52.05.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Club Internacional de Fútbol MiamiDC United
    4Table position24
    54.80%Possession36.00%
    13Days of rest13.9
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 71%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami

  • awayColumbus Crew1:2
  • homeSan Diego FC2:2
  • homeNashville SC MLS2:2
  • awayChicago Fire1:1
  • homeAtlanta United FC2:2

DC United

  • awayVancouver Whitecaps FC3:3
  • homeCharlotte FC1:2
  • homeAtlanta United FC0:0
  • homeColumbus Crew2:1
  • homeLos Angeles FC0:0

Head to head

  • 03/07/26MLS2:1
  • 09/20/25MLS3:2
  • 08/23/25MLS1:1
  • 05/19/24MLS1:0
  • 03/16/24MLS3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Vancouver Whitecaps FC26155659:2650
3FC Dallas27138650:4247
4Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami271210564:5046
5New England Revolution27144945:3646
6San Jose Earthquakes27136849:3945
7St. Louis City SC26128645:3644
8Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
9Charlotte FC27127847:3843
10Chicago Fire26126846:3842
11Los Angeles FC28118943:3041
12Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
13Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
14LA Galaxy28991037:4436
15Seattle Sounders FC2698933:3435
16Orlando City SC271041348:6434
17New York City FC27891041:3633
18FC Cincinnati2689955:6433
19New York Red Bulls26961134:4833
20San Diego FC27881147:4732
21Portland Timbers27951348:5132
22Real Salt Lake27951340:4432
23Austin FC277101035:4731
24DC United26612834:4230
25Columbus Crew27851439:4329
26Minnesota United FC27781240:4929

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.