All matches

Club Always Ready — Club Independiente Petrolero, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Club Always Ready
3.4WWWDD
—
Club Independiente Petrolero
1.8LLLWL
Outcome probability
85
Club Always Ready85%Draw9%Club Independiente Petrolero5%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Club Always Ready85%1.17—
XDraw9%10.60—
2Club Independiente Petrolero5%19.42—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes48%

ours 2.09

No52%

ours 1.92

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricClub Always ReadyClub Independiente PetroleroCombined
Goals scored2.671.003.67
Conceded0.832.333.16
Corners8.28.88.5
Cards2.22.04.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Club Always ReadyClub Independiente Petrolero
    1Table position10
    54.80%Possession49.00%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Club Always Ready look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 85%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 1.5

67%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Club Always Ready

  • awayCA Nacional Potosí4:0
  • homeCD Guabirá6:0
  • awayCD Oriente Petrolero2:1
  • homeClub Aurora2:2
  • awayCD Real Tomayapo1:1

Club Independiente Petrolero

  • homeCD Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo1:3
  • awayUniversitario de Vinto1:3
  • homeClub Bolívar0:4
  • homeCD Guabirá3:1
  • awayCA Nacional Potosí0:3

Head to head

  • 05/10/26LFPB0:0
  • 12/14/25LFPB2:5
  • 07/20/25LFPB5:0
  • 12/17/24LFPB6:4
  • 09/15/24LFPB0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Club Always Ready20136147:1345
2Club Bolívar20143354:2245
3Club The Strongest20126239:2242
4Club Real Potosí2088427:1432
5CD Oriente Petrolero2093836:2730
6Club Aurora2079431:2730
7CD Guabirá2085732:3929
8Club Blooming2069530:2227
9CA Nacional Potosí2083930:2827
10Club Independiente Petrolero2074927:3525
11CDT Real Oruro20631132:5021
12Academia del Balompié Boliviano20621231:4520

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.