All matches

Cercle Brugge KSV — RSC Anderlecht, Pro League

Belgium, Pro League

Cercle Brugge KSV
1.4LDLLL
—
RSC Anderlecht
2.5WLWDW
Outcome probability
272846
Cercle Brugge KSV27%Draw28%RSC Anderlecht46%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cercle Brugge KSV27%3.74—
XDraw28%3.61—
2RSC Anderlecht46%2.19—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.26

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCercle Brugge KSVRSC AnderlechtCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded2.000.832.83
Corners10.89.310.1
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Cercle Brugge KSVRSC Anderlecht
    16Table position5
    45.00%Possession58.50%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    RSC Anderlecht travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 46%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Cercle Brugge KSV

  • awaySporting du Pays de Charleroi2:3
  • awayOud-Heverlee Leuven1:1
  • homeKAA Gent0:3
  • homeLommel United0:1
  • awayClub Brugge KV0:1

RSC Anderlecht

  • homeSV Zulte-Waregem3:0
  • homeOlympique Lyonnais1:2
  • awayYR KV Mechelen1:0
  • homeKRC Genk0:0
  • homeKV Kortrijk1:0

Head to head

  • 03/22/26Pro League3:2
  • 08/03/25Pro League0:2
  • 03/16/25Pro League0:3
  • 11/10/24Pro League0:5

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Club Brugge KV760115:318
4Sporting du Pays de Charleroi760115:718
5RSC Anderlecht74127:513
6SV Zulte-Waregem732210:711
7Royal Standard de Liège732213:1211
8KVC Westerlo731315:1610
9KRC Genk723213:129
10Waasland-Beveren73047:119
11Sint-Truidense VV722312:128
12Lommel United72236:88
13Royal Antwerp FC721411:157
14RAAL La Louvière71157:144
15Oud-Heverlee Leuven71155:134
16Cercle Brugge KSV70348:143
17YR KV Mechelen70345:143
18KV Kortrijk71062:153

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.