Division Profesional

CD RecoletaППППП
—
Club LibertadНВВПН
1CD Recoleta22%model4.59
XDraw27%model3.73
2Club Libertad51%model1.94

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 00:35, 125 мс

Outcome

CD Recoleta22%
Draw27%
Club Libertad51%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on CD Recoleta vs Club Libertad

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Club Libertad still look stronger — an away win is rated at 51%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

CD Recoleta

LLLLL
  • awayClub Sportivo Luqueño0:1
  • homeClub Sportivo Trinidense1:3
  • awayClub Guaraní0:2
  • homeClub Cerro Porteño1:3
  • homeClub Olimpia1:2

Club Libertad

DWWLD
  • homeSportivo Ameliano1:1
  • awayClub 2 de Mayo2:0
  • homeClub Rubio Ñú4:2
  • awayClub Nacional0:3
  • awayClub Cerro Porteño1:1

Head to head — score from the perspective of CD Recoleta

  • 07/30/26away · Division Profesional1:4L
  • 03/30/26away · Division Profesional0:1L
  • 02/02/26home · Division Profesional2:1W
  • 10/26/25home · Division Profesional2:2D
  • 08/10/25away · Division Profesional1:1D

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
2Club Nacional341613550:2961
3Club Cerro Porteño331671045:3155
4Club Libertad331661153:3854
5Club Sportivo Trinidense3414101050:3552
6Sportivo Ameliano341215741:3451
7Club Guaraní341213940:3249
8Club 2 de Mayo3411111232:4844
9CD Recoleta331051848:5635
10Club Sportivo Luqueño34961936:5433
11Club Rubio Ñú34881828:4932
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.