NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers FCППНПП
—
Crusaders FCВПВПП
1Carrick Rangers FC53%model1.89bookmaker1.50
XDraw20%model5.12bookmaker4.30
2Crusaders FC28%model3.63bookmaker4.83

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 21:10, 576 мс

Outcome

Carrick Rangers FC53%
Draw20%
Crusaders FC28%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Carrick Rangers FC vs Crusaders FC

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Carrick Rangers FC: a home win is rated at 53%. Bookmakers price this at 1.50.

Most likely scorelines:…

The rest of the take is for subscribers

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Carrick Rangers FC

LLDLL
  • awayGlentoran FC0:2
  • homeLarne FC2:5
  • awayBallymena United FC1:1
  • homeCliftonville FC1:3
  • awayLinfield FC0:1

Crusaders FC

WLWLL
  • homeBangor FC2:1
  • awayLinfield FC0:1
  • homeDungannon Swifts FC3:0
  • homeLimavady United FC1:2
  • awayColeraine FC1:4

Head to head — score from the perspective of Carrick Rangers FC

  • 03/28/26home · NIFL Premiership6:1W
  • 12/30/25away · NIFL Premiership2:2D
  • 11/08/25home · NIFL Premiership1:2L
  • 08/09/25away · NIFL Premiership4:3W
  • 12/30/24home · NIFL Premiership0:0D

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
2Linfield FC971112:622
3Larne FC651012:316
4Crusaders FC950415:1415
5Glentoran FC941413:1013
6Dungannon Swifts FC84139:813
7Cliftonville FC940512:1112
8Carrick Rangers FC931511:1510
9Ballymena United FC823312:119
10Limavady United FC83057:119
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.