All matches

Cambrian & Clydach Vale — Ammanford, Welsh Premier League

Wales, Welsh Premier League

Cambrian & Clydach Vale
1.9WLWWD
—
Ammanford
1.5LLDLL
Outcome probability
7118
Cambrian & Clydach Vale71%Draw18%Ammanford12%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cambrian & Clydach Vale71%1.41—
XDraw18%5.68—
2Ammanford12%8.66—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.93

No48%

ours 2.08

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCambrian & Clydach ValeAmmanfordCombined
Goals scored2.170.502.67
Conceded2.502.835.33
Corners10.86.48.6
Cards1.61.02.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Cambrian & Clydach ValeAmmanford
    8Table position15
    46.60%Possession34.80%
    6.2Days of rest6.2
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC: a home win is rated at 71%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

    Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Goal in both halves: Yes

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

Cambrian & Clydach Vale

  • homeLlandudno4:3
  • awayCaernarfon Town1:9
  • awayTrefelin4:0
  • homeHolywell Town2:1
  • awayCardiff Metropolitan University2:2

Ammanford

  • awayFlint Town United0:3
  • homePenybont1:5
  • awayBarry Town United2:2
  • homeCaernarfon Town0:5
  • awayLlandudno0:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Barry Town United1171326:2022
7Cardiff Metropolitan University1153322:1318
8Cambrian & Clydach Vale1153321:2318
9Llandudno1151521:1816
10Airbus UK1150618:1715
11Haverfordwest113177:1610
12Briton Ferry Llansawel1123610:209
13Flint Town United1112811:245
14Trefelin110385:273
15Ammanford110387:313
16Holywell Town1102912:362

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.