Primera División

CA TorqueВВВВВ
CA PeñarolВВВПН
1CA Torque32%model3.14bookmaker2.56
XDraw23%model4.27bookmaker3.26
2CA Peñarol45%model2.23bookmaker2.38
calculated at 02:45, 429 мс

Outcome

CA Torque32%
Draw23%
CA Peñarol45%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on CA Torque vs CA Peñarol

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

CA Peñarol travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 45%. Bookmakers price this at 2.38.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

CA Torque

WWWWW
  • awayCentral Español FC4:1
  • homeLiverpool FC Montevideo3:1
  • homeCerro Largo Fútbol Club2:1
  • awayDefensor Sporting Club3:1
  • homeMontevideo Wanderers Fútbol Club5:1

CA Peñarol

WWWLD
  • awayClub Atlético Cerro2:1
  • homeAlbion FC3:1
  • awayDanubio Fútbol Club4:0
  • homeClub Nacional de Football0:1
  • awayClub Deportivo Maldonado0:0

Head to headscore from the perspective of CA Torque

  • 02/07/26away · Primera División1:3L
  • 11/09/25home · Primera División0:2L
  • 05/17/25away · Primera División1:2L

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1CA Peñarol29185651:2459
2CA Torque28165751:3253
3Racing Club de Montevideo291411435:2253
4Club Deportivo Maldonado29157744:2752

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.