Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.97
No49%
ours 2.03
All matches
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CA Rosario Central — Independiente Rivadavia, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
CA Rosario Central
2.9WWDLDIndependiente Rivadavia
2.3WWLWDOutcome probability
502822
CA Rosario Central50%Draw28%Independiente Rivadavia22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CA Rosario Central1.98—
XDraw3.63—
2Independiente Rivadavia4.53—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCA Rosario CentralIndependiente RivadaviaCombined
Goals scored1.001.502.50
Conceded0.831.172.00
Corners11.89.010.4
Cards3.23.06.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
CA Rosario CentralIndependiente Rivadavia64.80%Possession34.80%5Days of rest83Table position41Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour CA Rosario Central: a home win is rated at 50%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
72%
Form and context
CA Rosario Central
- homeArgentinos Juniors1:0
- awayCA Tigre1:0
- homeNewell's Old Boys1:1
- homeGimnasia y Esgrima La Plata1:2
- awayCA Talleres de Córdoba2:2
Independiente Rivadavia
- awayBarracas Central1:0
- homeCA Aldosivi4:3
- awayCA River Plate1:3
- homeRacing Club de Avellaneda3:1
- awayCA Independiente0:0
Head to head
- 03/23/26Primera División0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Argentinos Juniors29159534:2354
Argentinos Juniors29159534:23542
CA Belgrano de Córdoba301410635:2352
CA Belgrano de Córdoba301410635:23523CA Rosario Central29157736:2752
CA Rosario Central29157736:27524Independiente Rivadavia27156644:3051
Independiente Rivadavia27156644:30515
CA River Plate301541142:2949
CA River Plate301541142:29496
Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield271212333:2248
Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield271212333:2248