Both teams to score
Yes32%
ours 3.11
No68%
ours 1.47
All matches
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Brighton & Hove Albion FC — FK Kauno Žalgiris, UEFA Europa Conference League
Europe, UEFA Europa Conference League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2.6WWDLWFK Kauno Žalgiris
3.0WLWWWOutcome probability
95
Brighton & Hove Albion FC95%Draw4%FK Kauno Žalgiris1%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Brighton & Hove Albion FC1.05—
XDraw27.32—
2FK Kauno Žalgiris112.36—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBrighton & Hove Albion FCFK Kauno ŽalgirisCombined
Goals scored2.672.505.17
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners10.012.511.3
Cards2.02.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Brighton & Hove Albion FCFK Kauno Žalgiris1Matches in 14 days05.2Days of rest1465.60%Possession52.70% - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Brighton & Hove Albion FC look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 95%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 5.5
69%
Form and context
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
- homeArsenal FC3:0
- awayCoventry City FC5:0
- homeLeeds United FC1:1
- awayChelsea FC3:4
- homeTromsø IL4:0
FK Kauno Žalgiris
- awayFA Šiauliai2:0
- awayVMFD Žalgiris Vilnius2:3
- awayFK Panevėžys1:0
- homeFK Sūduva Marijampolė5:1
- homeFK Džiugas Telšiai5:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
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ETO FC41218:5562
FC Artsakh41216:65
FC Artsakh41216:6563Brighton & Hove Albion FC21104:04
Brighton & Hove Albion FC21104:0464
Paphos FC21105:34
Paphos FC21105:3465
Kuopion Palloseura21102:14
Kuopion Palloseura21102:14