Botafogo FR 3:2 Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense, Serie A

Brazil, Serie ASeptember 16 at 10:30 PMMatch finished

Botafogo FR

2.6LWDDL

3:2HT 1:1

Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense

1.5DLLLW

Pre-match forecastpublished September 16 at 08:17 PM

592318

Botafogo FR59%Draw23%Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense18%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.28xG1.32

36Possession, %64

10Shots13

7Shots on target3

3Corners3

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

13Fouls11

0Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3

Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score

All forecast markets: landed 73 of 99void — 1

Match result Landed
Botafogo FR59%
Total goals Landed
Over 2.551%
Both teams to score Landed
Yes50%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1Botafogo FR59%1.70—

XDraw23%4.27—

2Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense18%5.67—

Form and context

Botafogo FR

awayMirassol Futebol Clube0:2
homeGrêmio FB Porto Alegrense3:2
homeClube Atlético Bragantino1:1
homeSE Palmeiras0:0
awayCR Flamengo0:3

Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense

homeSE Palmeiras0:0
awayBotafogo FR2:3
homeCR Vasco da Gama1:2
awayEC Vitória0:1
homeChapecoense AF3:1

Head to head

09/16/26Serie A3:2
02/05/26Serie A3:5
11/22/25Serie A3:2
09/24/25Serie A1:1
09/29/24Serie A0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts

Clube Atlético Bragantino271061133:3136

São Paulo FC271061132:3036

Botafogo FR28981141:4535

EC Vitória28961328:4233

SC Corinthians Paulista28881229:3232

Mirassol Futebol Clube28881233:4232

CR Vasco da Gama27871234:4131

Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense28781330:3829

SC Internacional286101230:3628

Clube do Remo28581532:4723

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.