UEFA Nations League

Bosnia HerzegovinaНПВПН
—
SwedenВПНПВ
1Bosnia Herzegovina19%model5.37
XDraw24%model4.09
2Sweden57%model1.76
calculated at 23:17, 338 мс

Outcome

Bosnia Herzegovina19%
Draw24%
Sweden57%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Bosnia Herzegovina vs Sweden

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Sweden travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 57%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Bosnia Herzegovina

DLWLD
  • awayPoland0:0
  • awayUnited States Men's0:2
  • homeQatar3:1
  • awaySwitzerland1:4
  • awayCanada1:1

Sweden

WLDLW
  • homeRomania2:1
  • awayFrance0:3
  • awayJapan1:1
  • awayNetherlands1:5
  • homeTunisia5:1

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
7Malta11002:13
8Greece11002:13
9Sweden11002:13
10Northern Ireland11001:03
11Kosovo11001:03
12Portugal11001:03
13Ukraine11001:03
14France11001:03
15Germany10101:11
16Netherlands10101:11
17Bosnia Herzegovina10100:01
18Poland10100:01
19Denmark10012:30
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.