UEFA Nations League

BelarusПННПП
—
San MarinoППППП
1Belarus80%model1.25
XDraw15%model6.78
2San Marino5%model18.35

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 21:07, 164 мс

Outcome

Belarus80%
Draw15%
San Marino5%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Belarus vs San Marino

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Belarus look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 80%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Belarus

LDDLL
  • awayAlbania0:2
  • homeGreece0:0
  • awayDenmark2:2
  • awayScotland1:2
  • homeDenmark0:6

San Marino

LLLLL
  • homeFinland0:7
  • awayRomania1:7
  • homeCyprus0:4
  • awayAustria0:10
  • homeBosnia Herzegovina0:6

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
46Moldova10010:20
47Liechtenstein10010:20
48Belarus10010:20
49Latvia10010:20
50Italy10010:20
51FYR Macedonia10010:30
52San Marino10010:70

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.