Both teams to score
Yes24%
ours 4.13
No76%
ours 1.32
All matches
—
Barracas Central — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Barracas Central
2.0LDDLLEstudiantes de Río Cuarto
1.1LLDDLOutcome probability
582715
Barracas Central58%Draw27%Estudiantes de Río Cuarto15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Barracas Central1.72—
XDraw3.72—
2Estudiantes de Río Cuarto6.65—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBarracas CentralEstudiantes de Río CuartoCombined
Goals scored0.000.170.17
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners9.513.011.3
Cards5.52.07.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Barracas CentralEstudiantes de Río Cuarto21Table position3068.50%Possession50.30%7Days of rest72Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Barracas Central look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 58%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
70%
Form and context
Barracas Central
- homeIndependiente Rivadavia0:1
- homeArgentinos Juniors0:0
- awayCA Tigre0:0
- homePlatense1:2
- homeCA Rosario Central0:1
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
- awayCA Belgrano de Córdoba1:2
- homeCA Sarmiento0:2
- awayCA Huracán1:1
- homeCA San Lorenzo de Almagro0:0
- homeCA Tucuman0:1
Head to head
- 04/12/26Primera División2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
19
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro27810920:2434
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro27810920:243420
CA Tigre26711827:2432
CA Tigre26711827:243221Barracas Central2588919:2132
Barracas Central2588919:213222
Racing Club de Avellaneda28881230:3332
Racing Club de Avellaneda28881230:333223
Newell's Old Boys26710926:3531
Newell's Old Boys26710926:353124
CA Tucuman26691122:2627
CA Tucuman26691122:262725
CA Banfield25751327:3426
CA Banfield25751327:342626
Platense265101119:3025
Platense265101119:302527
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero26661418:3424
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero26661418:342428
Riestra253121013:1921
Riestra253121013:192129
CA Aldosivi262101418:3516
CA Aldosivi262101418:351630Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2525189:3511
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2525189:3511