UEFA Nations League

AustriaПНПВН
—
IsraelВПППВ
1Austria72%model1.39bookmaker1.44
XDraw17%model5.83bookmaker5.00
2Israel11%model9.30bookmaker7.38

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:06, 143 мс

Outcome

Austria72%
Draw17%
Israel11%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Austria vs Israel

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Austria: a home win is rated at 72%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Austria

LDLWD
  • awaySpain0:3
  • awayAlgeria3:3
  • awayArgentina0:2
  • homeJordan3:1
  • homeBosnia Herzegovina1:1

Israel

WLLLW
  • homeMoldova4:1
  • awayItaly0:3
  • awayNorway0:5
  • homeItaly4:5
  • awayMoldova4:0

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Австрия vs Израиль: prediction and stats — VARstats