Welsh Premier League

Ammanford AFCППНПП
—
Holywell Town FCНПППН
1Ammanford AFC41%model2.43
XDraw25%model3.92
2Holywell Town FC33%model3.00

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 21:10, 208 мс

Outcome

Ammanford AFC41%
Draw25%
Holywell Town FC33%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Ammanford AFC vs Holywell Town FC

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Ammanford AFC look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 41%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Ammanford AFC

LLDLL
  • awayFlint Town United FC0:3
  • homePenybont FC1:5
  • awayBarry Town United FC2:2
  • homeCaernarfon Town FC0:5
  • awayLlandudno FC0:2

Holywell Town FC

DLLLD
  • homeBriton Ferry Llansawel AFC1:1
  • awayHaverfordwest County AFC0:1
  • homeColwyn Bay FC0:5
  • awayCambrian & Clydach Vale FC1:2
  • homeTrefelin1:1

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
13Flint Town United FC1112811:245
14Trefelin110385:273
15Ammanford AFC110387:313
16Holywell Town FC1102912:362

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.