All matches

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Kulübü — Konyaspor, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Kulübü
2.1WWDWL
—
Konyaspor
1.5DWLLL
Outcome probability
602417
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Kulübü60%Draw24%Konyaspor17%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Kulübü60%1.67—
XDraw24%4.24—
2Konyaspor17%6.05—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.94

No48%

ours 2.07

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAmed Sportif Faaliyetler KulübüKonyasporCombined
Goals scored2.000.672.67
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners9.08.48.7
Cards3.63.06.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Amed Sportif Faaliyetler KulübüKonyaspor
    1Table position15
    7.1Days of rest6.1
    45.40%Possession48.40%
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Kulübü look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 60%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

67%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Kulübü

  • homeBeşiktaş3:2
  • homeİstanbul Başakşehir FK5:0
  • awayKasimpasa2:2
  • homeTrabzonspor2:1
  • awayKocaelispor Kulübü0:2

Konyaspor

  • awayKasimpasa0:0
  • homeTrabzonspor1:0
  • awayBB Erzurumspor0:1
  • homeKocaelispor Kulübü1:2
  • awayFenerbahçe2:4

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Kulübü641115:713
2Galatasaray641113:1013
3Beşiktaş640214:712
4Kocaelispor Kulübü64027:412
5Alanyaspor63218:611
6Fenerbahçe631216:610
7Trabzonspor631213:510
8Kasimpasa62407:510
9Çaykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep FK62227:78
11Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü621313:127
12İstanbul Başakşehir FK621310:117
13Gençlerbirliği62135:137
14BB Erzurumspor62133:117
15Konyaspor61144:84
16Samsunspor61146:124
17Göztepe603311:153

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.