Eerste Divisie

Almere City FCПВВПВ
—
FC VolendamВПВПВ
1Almere City FC45%model2.21bookmaker1.96
XDraw22%model4.63bookmaker3.84
2FC Volendam33%model3.01bookmaker3.23

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 21:10, 266 мс

Outcome

Almere City FC45%
Draw22%
FC Volendam33%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Almere City FC vs FC Volendam

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Almere City FC: a home win is rated at 45%. Bookmakers price this at 1.96.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Almere City FC

LWWLW
  • awayFC Dordrecht2:3
  • homeHeracles Almelo1:0
  • awayMVV4:0
  • homeAFC Ajax II0:1
  • awayBV De Graafschap4:1

FC Volendam

WLWLW
  • homeVVV Venlo3:2
  • awayAlkmaar Zaanstreek II1:4
  • homeFC Den Bosch2:0
  • awayFC Emmen3:5
  • homeFC Dordrecht6:1

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Heracles Almelo870126:1021
2Almere City FC851218:716
3MVV851212:1516
4VVV Venlo850321:1415
5SV Roda JC84319:515
6FC Emmen850318:1715
7RKC Waalwijk834118:1113
8Alkmaar Zaanstreek II941422:1713
9SBV Vitesse841313:1113
10NAC Breda841317:1713
11FC Volendam840420:1612
12PSV Eindhoven II933314:1612
13FC Eindhoven831413:1710
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.