All matches

Alianza Valledupar FC 1:4 Independiente Santa Fe SA, Categoria Primera A

Colombia, Categoria Primera AMatch finished

Alianza Valledupar FC
1.3WLWWL
1:4HT 0:2
Independiente Santa Fe SA
2.8WLWWD
Pre-match forecastpublished
253044
Alianza Valledupar FC25%Draw30%Independiente Santa Fe SA44%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.87xG1.64
50Possession, %50
16Shots9
2Shots on target7
6Corners6
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Fouls7
0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 66 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Independiente Santa Fe SA44%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.565%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 35%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No58%

    Actual: Yes — we had 42%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Alianza Valledupar FC25%3.95—
XDraw30%3.29—
2Independiente Santa Fe SA44%2.26—

Form and context

Alianza Valledupar FC

  • awayJaguares de Córdoba FC2:1
  • homeIndependiente Santa Fe SA1:4
  • awayDeportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA2:1
  • homeCD Popular Junior FC SA1:0
  • awaySociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA0:3

Independiente Santa Fe SA

  • awayCS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira2:1
  • homeAsociación Deportivo Cali0:1
  • awayAlianza Valledupar FC4:1
  • homeClub Deportes Tolima SA1:0
  • homeFortaleza CEIF FC2:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Categoria Primera A1:4
  • 03/15/26Categoria Primera A1:1
  • 11/14/25Categoria Primera A0:1
  • 05/25/25Categoria Primera A6:1
  • 09/26/24Categoria Primera A0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Sociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA32177848:2658
3Club Deportes Tolima SA341510946:3455
4Independiente Santa Fe SA341315653:3654
5CD Popular Junior FC SA341581152:4253
6Asociación Deportivo Cali30139837:2448
7Millonarios FC SA321211949:3447
8Once Caldas SA321113847:4046
9Deportivo Independiente Medellín301371045:3946
10CA Bucaramanga291013643:2943
11AD Pasto321261438:4642
12CD La Equidad Seguros SA339131141:5240
13Rionegro Águilas SA299101032:4037
14Club Llaneros SA308121031:3436
15Fortaleza CEIF FC306131135:4531
16Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo306101433:5428
17Alianza Valledupar FC306101424:4828
18Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA29841725:5028
19Jaguares de Córdoba FC29671631:5125

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.