UEFA Nations League

AlbaniaППВВВ
—
BelarusННППП
1Albania45%model2.23bookmaker1.52
XDraw46%model2.17bookmaker4.14
2Belarus9%model11.17bookmaker7.65

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:07, 117 мс

Outcome

Albania45%
Draw46%
Belarus9%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Albania vs Belarus

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

The sides are closely matched, and a draw is likelier than usual at 46%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Albania

LLWWW
  • awayPoland1:2
  • homeEngland0:2
  • awayAndorra1:0
  • awaySerbia1:0
  • homeLatvia1:0

Belarus

DDLLL
  • homeGreece0:0
  • awayDenmark2:2
  • awayScotland1:2
  • homeDenmark0:6
  • homeScotland0:2

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Албания vs Беларусь: prediction and stats — VARstats