AD Pasto — Fortaleza CEIF FC, Categoria Primera A

Categoria Primera A

AD PastoПВВНП
—
Fortaleza CEIF FCПННПН
1AD Pasto49%model2.05
XDraw29%model3.48
2Fortaleza CEIF FC22%model4.45

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 20:15, 205 мс

Outcome

AD Pasto49%
Draw29%
Fortaleza CEIF FC22%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

AD Pasto look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 49%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

AD Pasto

LWWDL
  • awayDeportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA0:3
  • homeOnce Caldas SA1:0
  • awaySociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA1:0
  • awayCorporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo2:2
  • homeCS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira1:2

Fortaleza CEIF FC

LDDLD
  • homeCD Popular Junior FC SA1:4
  • awayJaguares de Córdoba FC2:2
  • awayIndependiente Santa Fe SA2:2
  • homeOnce Caldas SA1:2
  • awayDeportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA0:0

Head to head — score from the perspective of AD Pasto

  • 03/25/26away · Categoria Primera A2:1W
  • 10/24/25away · Categoria Primera A0:2L
  • 05/04/25home · Categoria Primera A1:0W
  • 09/15/24away · Categoria Primera A0:0D
  • 03/05/24home · Categoria Primera A1:0W

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
9Deportivo Independiente Medellín291361043:3745
10CA Bucaramanga291013643:2943
11AD Pasto321261438:4642
12CD La Equidad Seguros SA339131141:5240
13Rionegro Águilas SA28910932:3837
14Club Llaneros SA308121031:3436
15Fortaleza CEIF FC296121133:4330
16Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo306101433:5428
17Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA29841725:5028
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.