Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
—
Academico de Viseu FC — GD Estoril Praia, Liga NOS
Portugal, Liga NOS
Academico de Viseu FC
2.3WWWLDGD Estoril Praia
1.4LLDLLOutcome probability
552619
Academico de Viseu FC55%Draw26%GD Estoril Praia19%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Academico de Viseu FC1.83—
XDraw3.83—
2GD Estoril Praia5.22—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAcademico de Viseu FCGD Estoril PraiaCombined
Goals scored1.170.331.50
Conceded1.171.502.67
Corners7.39.38.3
Cards2.72.55.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Academico de Viseu FCGD Estoril Praia7Table position1848.20%Possession45.30%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Academico de Viseu FC look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 55%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Form and context
Academico de Viseu FC
- awayEstrela Amadora2:0
- homeVitória Guimarães SC2:1
- awayGil Vicente FC1:0
- homeFC Porto0:3
- awayCS Marítimo Funchal2:2
GD Estoril Praia
- homeCasa Pia AC1:2
- awaySporting Braga0:1
- homeFC Arouca0:0
- awaySL Benfica1:2
- homeRio Ave FC0:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
FC Arouca732210:711
FC Arouca732210:7116
Sporting Braga63217:511
Sporting Braga63217:5117Academico de Viseu FC73229:911
Academico de Viseu FC73229:9118
Estrela Amadora724114:1410
Estrela Amadora724114:14109
Gil Vicente FC62225:58
Gil Vicente FC62225:5810
Alverca72239:118
Alverca72239:11811
CS Marítimo Funchal72238:128
CS Marítimo Funchal72238:12812
Moreirense FC72238:148
Moreirense FC72238:14813
FC Famalicão71429:77
FC Famalicão71429:7714
Vitória Guimarães SC71245:85
Vitória Guimarães SC71245:8515
CD Nacional Funchal71157:154
CD Nacional Funchal71157:15416
Rio Ave FC71155:154
Rio Ave FC71155:15417
Casa Pia AC71153:164
Casa Pia AC71153:16418GD Estoril Praia70253:102
GD Estoril Praia70253:102