Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.60
No38%
ours 2.67
All matches
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AC Horsens — Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold, Superliga
Denmark, Superliga
AC Horsens
1.8DLWLWSønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold
1.5WDLLLOutcome probability
542422
AC Horsens54%Draw24%Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AC Horsens1.87—
XDraw4.11—
2Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold4.52—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAC HorsensSønderjysk Elitesport FodboldCombined
Goals scored1.501.332.83
Conceded1.501.833.33
Corners6.88.07.4
Cards2.82.04.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
AC HorsensSønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold6Table position121Matches in 14 days253.30%Possession40.50%8.9Days of rest7.1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
AC Horsens look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 54%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
72%
Form and context
AC Horsens
- homeAarhus Gymnastikforening2:2
- awayFC København0:2
- awaySønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold5:2
- homeViborg FF2:3
- homeLyngby Boldklub2:1
Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold
- homeRanders FC4:2
- awayLyngby Boldklub1:1
- homeAC Horsens2:5
- awayFC København1:3
- homeFC Nordsjælland0:3
Head to head
- 09/06/26Superliga5:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
FC Nordsjælland952214:1017
FC Nordsjælland952214:10175
Brøndby IF941412:1513
Brøndby IF941412:15136AC Horsens932415:1611
AC Horsens932415:16117
Silkeborg IF924312:1210
Silkeborg IF924312:12108
Randers FC931511:1410
Randers FC931511:14109
Odense BK92348:149
Odense BK92348:14910
Lyngby Boldklub914410:167
Lyngby Boldklub914410:16711
Aarhus Gymnastikforening905411:175
Aarhus Gymnastikforening905411:17512Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold912612:215
Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold912612:215