Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.59
All matches
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1. FC Heidenheim 1846 — 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
1.2DWWWL1. FC Kaiserslautern
2.1WLWWDOutcome probability
452629
1. FC Heidenheim 184645%Draw26%1. FC Kaiserslautern29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
11. FC Heidenheim 18462.21—
XDraw3.90—
21. FC Kaiserslautern3.43—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
Metric1. FC Heidenheim 18461. FC KaiserslauternCombined
Goals scored2.331.003.33
Conceded2.000.672.67
Corners11.211.211.2
Cards1.82.34.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
1. FC Heidenheim 18461. FC Kaiserslautern3Table position547.00%Possession48.00%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 45%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
71%
Form and context
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- awayDSC Arminia Bielefeld2:2
- homeKieler SV Holstein 19001:0
- awaySpVgg Greuther Fürth1:0
- homeSG Dynamo Dresden5:3
- awayHertha BSC1:4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
- homeBraunschweiger TSV Eintracht 18951:0
- away1. FC Magdeburg0:3
- homeSV Darmstadt 18983:0
- awayFC St. Pauli2:1
- homeKarlsruher SC0:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Hertha BSC660017:718
Hertha BSC660017:7182
1. FC Nürnberg651016:616
1. FC Nürnberg651016:61631. FC Heidenheim 1846641114:1213
1. FC Heidenheim 1846641114:12134
VfL Wolfsburg632115:811
VfL Wolfsburg632115:81151. FC Kaiserslautern63216:411
1. FC Kaiserslautern63216:4116
1. FC Magdeburg631211:910
1. FC Magdeburg631211:9107
FC Energie Cottbus622214:138
FC Energie Cottbus622214:138